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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM RRA

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area 
of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this 
morning.  However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10 
to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and 
tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for 
this system unless conditions warrant.  Regularly scheduled 
Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special 
Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the 
remainder of the off-season.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg/Brown 
NNNN

000
AXNT20 KNHC 270006
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0005 UTC Sat Apr 27 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2350 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is limited to inlad Africa this evening. The 
ITCZ extends from 05N15W to 02N30W to 03N42W. Scattered moderate 
convection is from 03N to 09N between 14W and 28W. Scattered 
moderate to isolated strong convection is from 00N to 06N between
27W and 43W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging remain the prevalent feature over the area, which
currently supports moderate to fresh E to SE winds W of 85W where
seas are in the 5-6 ft range. There are two areas of fresh to
strong E winds, one of them being off NW Cuba and over the
northern Yucatan Peninsula adjacent waters to 23N. Moisture
advection from the E Pac and from the NW Caribbean along with
upper level diffluent flow support isolated showers mainly over
the NW basin where dense fog is also being reported.  

For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the region will 
tighten tonight through Sat, which will result in increasing 
SE fresh to strong winds over the entire basin through Sun night.
Seas are expected to peak to 11 ft in the NW Gulf Sat night and 
Sun. Meanwhile, winds will pulse to fresh to strong speeds near 
the northern Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the forecast 
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

High pressure north of the area is sustaining gentle to moderate 
winds across the basin, except for fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds in the Windward Passage, Gulf of Honduras and Gulf of
Venezuela. Seas basin-wide are in the 4-6 ft range. Otherwise,
moisture advection from a prevalent area of convection N of
Ecuador and E of the Galapagos Islands along with upper level
diffluent flow continue to support scattered showers and isolated
tstms across the central and SW Caribbean, including Hispaniola,
and the Mona Passage. 

For the forecast, by this evening, strengthening of the high 
pressure will force fresh to strong trade winds in the Gulf of 
Honduras, lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and just south of 
Hispaniola beginning on Sat night through early next week.
Otherwise, showers are forecast to continue in the SW Caribbean, 
Hispaniola and extend to Puerto Rico and adjacent waters over the 
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Surface ridging extends from a 1034 mb high over the NW Atlantic
waters into the Florida and Bahamas offshore waters where is
intersected by a weak cold front that extends from 31N68W to
30N79W. Ahead of the front, a surface trough continues to support
showers over the offshore waters E of the Bahamas to 50W. The
remainder subtropical Atlantic waters are under the influence of
the Azores High. Moderate to fresh NE winds are behind the front.
Easterly winds of the same magnitude are N of 20N and E of 40W
along with moderate seas. 

For the forecast W of 55W, the cold front will merge with a 
frontal trough E of the eastern Dominican Republic tonight. The 
front will reach from near 31N58W to eastern Cuba by Sat morning, 
and from near 25N55W to Hispaniola by Sun morning, then stall and 
weaken over the far southeastern part late Sun through Mon night. 
North swell behind the front will build seas to a peak of 12 ft 
over northeast offshore waters by Sun. Strengthening high pressure
in the wake of the front will result in fresh to strong north to 
northeast winds behind the front from tonight through Sun. By late
Sun, fresh winds will prevail in the wake of the weakening front 
and continue through Mon. Tranquil conditions are expected Tue as 
high pressure becomes centered over the NW part of the offshore 
waters, with the induced gradient supporting fresh northeast to 
east winds over the southern waters.

$$
Ramos

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. 

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 
2023 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season.  Routine issuance of 
the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2024.  During 
the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as 
conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
NNNN

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 270309
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Apr 27 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The equatorial trough extends from 09N76W to 09N89W to 08.5N114W.
The ITCZ continues from 08.5N114W to 08N125W TO 05N132W to 
beyond 06.5N140W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is 
noted from 03N to 08.5N between 81W and 96W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N between 
107W and 132W. Scattered moderate convection is noted W of 137W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1032 mb center of high pressure located NE of the Hawaiian
Islands extends a broad ridge southeastward to offshore of Cabo
Corrientes. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a 
surface trough over NW and central Mexico is supporting moderate
to fresh NW to N winds across the Baja California waters, with a
few small areas of strong winds near the coast. Seas there are 6
to 8 ft in NW swell. Fresh to locally strong westerly gap winds 
have developed inside portions of the north and central Gulf of 
California, where seas downwind have built to 4-5 ft. Variable 
gentle to moderate winds are across the remaining Gulf, where 
seas are 2 to 3 ft. Mainly gentle W to NW winds and seas at 4 to 
5 ft in SW swell prevail across the remainder of the S and SW 
Mexican offshore waters between Manzanillo and Tehuantepec.

For the forecast, strong high pressure will continue across the 
NE Pacific to sustain moderate to fresh NW winds across the Baja
offshore waters, becoming locally strong during the afternoon 
and evening hours through Sat. Westerly gap winds across the 
northern and central portions this evening are expected to 
continue through early Sat morning. The high pressure will move 
east and weaken modestly Sun through the middle of next week, 
leading to weakening winds across the area waters. Moderate NW 
swell will build across the Baja waters today then become 
reinforced over the weekend, with seas building to 8 to 11 ft 
across the outer waters of Baja Norte by Sat night. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered showers and tstms prevail across the offshore waters 
between the Galapagos Islands and the coasts of Costa Rica and 
Panama. Fresh easterly gap winds are within 60 nm of the coast of
Nicaragua and the Gulf of Papagayo, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. 
Between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador, gentle to locally 
moderate S to SW winds are ongoing along with seas to 6 ft in S 
swell. Light to gentle variable winds with 4 to 5 ft seas are 
present elsewhere in S swell. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh easterly gap winds are 
expected across the Papagayo region through Sat morning. 
Moderate N winds will pulse to locally fresh winds tonight  
until Sat morning. Gentle to locally moderate winds with moderate
seas will prevail elsewhere through Mon before new S swell 
raises seas across the regional waters Mon night and Tue.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1032 mb center of high pressure near 35N145W extends a broad 
ridge SE across the offshore waters of central Mexico. The
associated pressure gradient south of this ridge is maintaining 
moderate to fresh NE to E winds from 08N to 22N W of 115W, with
small areas of strong winds near active convection between 118W
and 132W. Seas in this region are 7-10 ft in mixed N and NE 
swell. N of 22N and W of the Baja California offshore waters, 
winds are mainly moderate from the N to NE and seas are in the 
5-7 ft range in northerly swell. Gentle to moderate SE to S 
winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in moderate, cross equatorial S swell 
prevail near and S of the ITCZ.

For the forecast, the moderate to fresh trade winds will continue
S of 22N and west of 118W through Mon, occasionally pulsing to 
strong. This will maintain seas at 6 to 9 ft south of the ridge. 
Moderate N to NE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are expected north 
of 22N through Mon, with northerly swell offshore of Baja
California Norte building 8 to 12 ft Sat night through Wed, and 
gradually spreading westward to 130W. Little change is forecast 
across the remainder of the waters through early next week.

$$
Stripling

No Storms to Report