U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 191910 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains unchanged. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0124 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... An expansive post-frontal air mass, characterized by cool surface temperatures and weak surface winds, will encompass much of the central and eastern CONUS, limiting fire-weather concerns. Dry conditions will persist over the Southwest, though weak surface winds and marginal fuels will also limit fire-weather potential here.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 192248 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook RESENT 3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0548 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z An upper-level ridging pattern will persist across the western half of the CONUS through at least Day 6/Wednesday, as multiple mid-level troughs amplify while traversing the CONUS east of the Mississippi River. Medium-range guidance members depict an appreciable chance for accumulating rainfall from portions of the southern Plains to the East Coast, which in combination with moist low-level conditions, should limit significant wildfire-spread concerns. By Days 7-8 (next Thursday-Friday), medium-range guidance shows a mid-level trough amplifying over the Rockies, encouraging surface cyclone development along the High Plains. A dryline should become established across western Kansas into western Texas each afternoon, with Elevated to Critically dry and windy conditions likely behind the dryline. However, appreciable rainfall accumulations may occur within the next few days over these same areas. Since the impacts of rainfall upon available fuels is not yet understood, higher Critical probabilities have been withheld this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024
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