U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 231607
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Valid 231700Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
or additions made.
..Squitieri.. 04/23/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024/
...Synopsis...
A midlevel trough will advance east-southeastward from the Midwest
toward the Northeast through the period, while an upper ridge
encompasses much of the West. On the backside of the midlevel
trough, a post-frontal air mass will infiltrate the northern and
central Plains, where breezy/gusty northerly surface winds are
expected. Over portions of southern NE and KS, these winds could
briefly overlap 20-30 percent afternoon RH, favoring locally
elevated fire-weather conditions -- given receptive fuels across the
area. However, these conditions appear too brief and marginal for
Elevated highlights at this time.
Farther west, dry/breezy conditions are expected across the
Southwest during the afternoon. However, fuels are generally not
supportive of large fires at this time.
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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230629
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0129 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...Synopsis...
A low-latitude midlevel trough accompanied by strong southwesterly
flow aloft will impinge on the Southwest, where dry antecedent
conditions will be in place. This will promote a fairly expansive
area of dry/breezy conditions across the region; however, fuels are
generally not supportive of large-fire spread at this time.
Elsewhere, a limited overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will
temper fire-weather concerns.
..Weinman.. 04/23/2024
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 222044
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024
Valid 241200Z - 301200Z
A relatively active fire weather pattern is poised to set up across
the southern High Plains late this week through this weekend. By
Thursday, the first in a series of mid-level troughs will approach
the southern Rockies, with surface low development likely across the
central High Plains. By Thursday afternoon, a dryline will surge
eastward across the southern High Plains, with Critically dry and
windy conditions occurring behind the dryline. For Friday through
the weekend, the approach/passage of another mid-level trough and
associated surface cyclone will support continued eastward dryline
surges over the southern High Plains, accompanied by Critically dry
and windy conditions each afternoon. 70 percent Critical
probabilities have been issued Days 4-6 (Thursday-Saturday) where
Critical conditions should be most prolonged, and where fuels are
most receptive to wildfire spread. Dry conditions should persist
across the southern High Plains into early next week, though it is
currently unclear if the surface winds will approach Critical
thresholds.
..Squitieri.. 04/22/2024
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